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The daily and hourly energy consumption and load forecasting using artifitial neural network method: a case study using a set of 93 households in Portugal

dc.contributor.authorRodrigues, Filipe Martins
dc.contributor.authorCardeira, Carlos
dc.contributor.authorCalado, João Manuel Ferreira
dc.date.accessioned2015-08-21T13:54:55Z
dc.date.available2015-08-21T13:54:55Z
dc.date.issued2014
dc.description.abstractIt is important to understand and forecast a typical or a particularly household daily consumption in order to design and size suitable renewable energy systems and energy storage. In this research for Short Term Load Forecasting (STLF) it has been used Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and, despite the consumption unpredictability, it has been shown the possibility to forecast the electricity consumption of a household with certainty. The ANNs are recognized to be a potential methodology for modeling hourly and daily energy consumption and load forecasting. Input variables such as apartment area, numbers of occupants, electrical appliance consumption and Boolean inputs as hourly meter system were considered. Furthermore, the investigation carried out aims to define an ANN architecture and a training algorithm in order to achieve a robust model to be used in forecasting energy consumption in a typical household. It was observed that a feed-forward ANN and the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm provided a good performance. For this research it was used a database with consumption records, logged in 93 real households, in Lisbon, Portugal, between February 2000 and July 2001, including both weekdays and weekend. The results show that the ANN approach provides a reliable model for forecasting household electric energy consumption and load profile. © 2014 The Author.por
dc.identifier.citationRODRIGUES, Filipe Martins; CARDEIRA, Carlos; CALADO, João Manuel Ferreira – The daily and hourly energy consumption and load forecasting using artifitial neural network method: A case study using a set of 93 households in Portugal. In Energy Procedia. Amsterdam: Elsevier Ltd, 2014. ISSN: 876-6102. Vol. 62, pp. 220-229por
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.egypro.2014.12.383
dc.identifier.issn876-6102
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.21/4912
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.peerreviewedyespor
dc.publisherElsevier Ltdpor
dc.subjectArtificial Neural Networkspor
dc.subjectBoolean Applicationpor
dc.subjectEnergy Forecastingpor
dc.subjectHourly and Daily Energypor
dc.subjectLevenberg-Marquardtpor
dc.titleThe daily and hourly energy consumption and load forecasting using artifitial neural network method: a case study using a set of 93 households in Portugalpor
dc.typeconference object
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceAmsterdampor
oaire.citation.endPage229por
oaire.citation.startPage220por
oaire.citation.titleEnergy Procediapor
oaire.citation.volume62por
person.familyNameCalado
person.givenNameJoão
person.identifier370725
person.identifier.ciencia-idB518-93E3-E7AB
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-6628-4657
person.identifier.ridM-4167-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7006897277
rcaap.rightsclosedAccesspor
rcaap.typeconferenceObjectpor
relation.isAuthorOfPublication602b1546-f4f1-4cd5-8d29-d835d54c9bd6
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery602b1546-f4f1-4cd5-8d29-d835d54c9bd6

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