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On the dynamical complexity of a seasonally forced discrete SIR epidemic model with a constant vaccination strategy

dc.contributor.authorRashidinia, Jalil
dc.contributor.authorSajjadian, Mehri
dc.contributor.authorDuarte, Jorge
dc.contributor.authorJanuário, Cristina
dc.contributor.authorMartins, Nuno
dc.date.accessioned2018-12-12T10:23:59Z
dc.date.available2018-12-12T10:23:59Z
dc.date.issued2018-12-02
dc.description.abstractIn this article, we consider the discretized classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) forced epidemic model to investigate the consequences of the introduction of different transmission rates and the effect of a constant vaccination strategy, providing new numerical and topological insights into the complex dynamics of recurrent diseases. Starting with a constant contact (or transmission) rate, the computation of the spectrum of Lyapunov exponents allows us to identify different chaotic regimes. Studying the evolution of the dynamical variables, a family of unimodal-type iterated maps with a striking biological meaning is detected among those dynamical regimes of the densities of the susceptibles. Using the theory of symbolic dynamics, these iteratedmaps are characterized based on the computation of an important numerical invariant, the topological entropy.The introduction of a degree (or amplitude) of seasonality, 𝜀, is responsible for inducing complexity into the population dynamics. The resulting dynamical behaviors are studied using some of the previous tools for particular values of the strength of the seasonality forcing, 𝜀. Finally, we carry out a study of the discrete SIR epidemic model under a planned constant vaccination strategy.We examine what effect this vaccination regime will have on the periodic and chaotic dynamics originated by seasonally forced epidemics.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationRASHIDINIA, Jalil; [et al] – On the dynamical complexity of a seasonally forced discrete SIR epidemic model with a constant vaccination strategy. Complexity. ISSN 1076-2787. Vol. 2018, (2018), pp. 1-11pt_PT
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1155/2018/7191487pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1076-2787
dc.identifier.issn1099-0526
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.21/9162
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherHindawi Publishing Corporationpt_PT
dc.subjectSusceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)pt_PT
dc.subjectVaccination strategypt_PT
dc.subjectEstratégia de vacinaçãopt_PT
dc.titleOn the dynamical complexity of a seasonally forced discrete SIR epidemic model with a constant vaccination strategypt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/5876/UID%2FMAT%2F04106%2F2013/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/5876/UID%2FMAT%2F04459%2F2013/PT
oaire.citation.endPage11pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage1pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleComplexitypt_PT
oaire.citation.volume2018pt_PT
oaire.fundingStream5876
oaire.fundingStream5876
person.familyNameRashidinia
person.familyNameSajjadian
person.familyNameDuarte
person.familyNameJanuário
person.givenNameJalil
person.givenNameMehri
person.givenNameJorge
person.givenNameCristina
person.identifier.ciencia-idBC1D-1E83-E2B2
person.identifier.ciencia-id101B-390C-E67C
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9177-900X
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-1576-2406
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2641-3199
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6978-876X
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2173-0101
person.identifier.ridG-7261-2011
person.identifier.scopus-author-id35310049800
person.identifier.scopus-author-id56526791400
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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