Repository logo
 
Publication

COVID-19: nothing is normal in this pandemic

2021-06Journal article Open access
Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorGonçalves, Luzia
dc.contributor.authorTurkman
dc.contributor.authorBrás-Geraldes, Carlos
dc.contributor.authorMarques, Tiago A.
dc.contributor.authorSOUSA, LISETE
dc.date.accessioned2021-10-08T08:29:40Z
dc.date.available2021-10-08T08:29:40Z
dc.date.issued2021-06
dc.description.abstractThis manuscript brings attention to inaccurate epidemiological concepts that emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic. In social media and scientific journals, some wrong references were given to a "normal epidemic curve" and also to a "log-normal curve/distribution". For many years, textbooks and courses of reputable institutions and scientific journals have disseminated misleading concepts. For example, calling histogram to plots of epidemic curves or using epidemic data to introduce the concept of a Gaussian distribution, ignoring its temporal indexing. Although an epidemic curve may look like a Gaussian curve and be eventually modelled by a Gauss function, it is not a normal distribution or a log-normal, as some authors claim. A pandemic produces highly-complex data and to tackle it effectively statistical and mathematical modelling need to go beyond the "onesize-fits-all solution". Classical textbooks need to be updated since pandemics happen and epidemiology needs to provide reliable information to policy recommendations and actions.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationGONÇALVES, Luzia; [et al] – COVID-19: nothing is normal in this pandemic. Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health. ISSN 2210-6006. Vol. 11, N.º 2 (2021), pp. 1-4pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.2991/jegh.k.210108.001pt_PT
dc.identifier.eissn2210-6014
dc.identifier.issn2210-6006
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.21/13848
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherAtlantis Presspt_PT
dc.relationCentre of Statistics and its Applications
dc.subjectEpidemic curvept_PT
dc.subjectNormal distributionpt_PT
dc.subjectLog-normal distributionpt_PT
dc.subjectGaussian curvept_PT
dc.subjectCOVID-19pt_PT
dc.titleCOVID-19: nothing is normal in this pandemicpt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleCentre of Statistics and its Applications
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F00006%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.endPage4pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue2pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage1pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleJournal of Epidemiology and Global Healthpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume11pt_PT
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
person.familyNameGonçalves
person.familyNameAmaral Turkman
person.familyNameBrás-Geraldes
person.familyNameMarques
person.familyNameRIBEIRO DE SOUSA
person.givenNameLuzia
person.givenNameMaria Antónia
person.givenNameCarlos
person.givenNameTiago A.
person.givenNameLISETE MARIA
person.identifier403787
person.identifier.ciencia-id1917-9541-29E2
person.identifier.ciencia-id081A-ABD6-13DD
person.identifier.ciencia-id161F-0DDB-81E2
person.identifier.ciencia-id6518-7145-2F61
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9710-1945
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7564-7154
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-1551-6531
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-2581-1972
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-2114-720X
person.identifier.ridA-4358-2019
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7103169188
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57197972944
person.identifier.scopus-author-id6603703024
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication5351d25c-e761-46a4-be0f-4ae5325535bf
relation.isAuthorOfPublication70333d25-052b-4e0b-a564-1b0fb05af47a
relation.isAuthorOfPublication2e79cc97-7263-448f-b230-3bdc4ebefa9b
relation.isAuthorOfPublication83e5c093-5bff-4ff7-9ad0-49f316ffb34b
relation.isAuthorOfPublication95cee711-a91f-419e-83e0-d500ed0c947e
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery70333d25-052b-4e0b-a564-1b0fb05af47a
relation.isProjectOfPublication56604007-ee11-4ff0-b18e-a9fe359e7db1
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscovery56604007-ee11-4ff0-b18e-a9fe359e7db1

Files

Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
Covid-19_CGeraldes.pdf
Size:
708.78 KB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Download

Collections

ISEL - Matemática - Artigos