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Wind power forecasting with machine learning: single and combined methods

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Resumo(s)

In Portugal, wind power represents one of the largest renewable sources of energy in the national energy mix. The investment in wind power started several decades ago and is still on the roadmap of political and industrial players. One example is that by 2030 it is estimated that wind power is going to represent up to 35% of renewable energy production in Portugal. With the growth of the installed wind capacity, the development of methods to forecast the amount of energy generated becomes increasingly necessary. Historically, Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models were used. However, forecasting accuracy depends on many variables such as on-site conditions, surrounding terrain relief, local meteorology, etc. Thus, it becomes a challenge to obtain improved results using such methods. This article aims to report the development of a machine learning pipeline with the objective of improving the forecasting capability of the NWP’s to obtain an error lower than 10%.

Descrição

Palavras-chave

Wind power forecast Feature engineering Machine learning Ensemble models Recurrent neural network

Contexto Educativo

Citação

ROSA, J. [et al] – Wind power forecasting with machine learning: single and combined methods. In20th International Conference on Renewable Energies and Power Quality (ICREPQ’22). Vigo, Spain: Renewable Energy and Power Quality Journal, 2022. ISSN 2172-038X. Vol. 20. Pp. 673-678.

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Fascículo

Editora

Renewable Energy and Power Quality Journal

Licença CC

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