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  • Study of the 24 September 2013 Oman Sea tsunami using linear shallow water inversion
    Publication . Baptista, Maria Ana Carvalho Viana; MIRANDA, JORGE MIGUEL; Omira, Rachid; El-Hussain, Issa
    In this study, we present a linear inverse approach for the computation of the initial water displacement of a tsunami. The method uses empirical Green functions and linear shallow water wave theory. We apply this methodology to study the source of the 24 September 2013 tsunami off the Makran coast. We re-analyze the 2013 tsunami data, particularly the tide records in the coast of Oman and the DART buoy record in the Arabian Sea, to infer its source. We use wavelet and Fourier analyses to characterize the frequency content of the tide records and the possible influence of local harbor effects. We compute empirical Green functions for the possible source area, and then use a linear shallow water inversion technique to assess the water disturbance in the early stage of tsunami propagation. The comparison between forward modeling and observations shows a fair agreement with available data, particularly in what concerns the DART record. It also suggests the existence of local amplifications in a number of Omani harbors. The free surface elevation obtained by inversion of the waveforms is coherent with a landslide located close to 61.5 degrees E, 24 degrees N, sliding to the S or SSE direction. Our results show that the inversion technique used here leads to a better characterization of the tsunami source than the simple backward ray tracing which assumes a simple point source. In addition, these results strengthen the hypothesis that landslides might have played an important role in previous tsunami events in the area, and must be taken into account for tsunami hazard assessment on the Omani coast.
  • Reevaluation of the 11 november 1858 earthquake and tsunami in Setubal: a contribution to the seismic and tsunami hazard assessment in Southwest Iberia
    Publication . Wronna, Martin; Baptista, Maria Ana Carvalho Viana; MIRANDA, JORGE MIGUEL
    The southwest Iberian Margin (SWIM) hosted a series of tsunamigenic earthquakes. However, strong magnitude earthquakes M > 7.0 are scarce and geological and geophysical evidence suggest that slow deformation occurs on a large area without a discrete plate boundary. The reanalysis of this event is crucial because of its location in a possible transition zone between the diffuse plate boundary and the stable continent regime. The 11 November 1858 earthquake in Setubal, Portugal, with an estimated M similar to 7, ruined a large part of the city and was felt all over Portugal and large parts of the Iberian Peninsula. Earlier studies suggest an epicentre close to the shore, less than 50 km away, and there exists a description of a tsunami in Setubal. We use macroseismic intensities and present a reevaluation of the event parameters: depth, epicentre, magnitude, and fault orientation. We select the candidate faults according to the epicentral area and plate kinematics and use scaling laws for the magnitude range. We use tsunami numerical modelling to check the tsunamigenic potential of the event. Finally, we compute the tsunami propagation and inundation for Setubal for seven candidate scenarios and analyze waveform data obtained at virtual tide gauges. Our results favour an offshore inverse fault compatible with the tsunami observation corresponding to a reverse fault with a 40 degrees strike angle at 13 km depth and a magnitude range of 6.8 +/- 0.3.