Utilize este identificador para referenciar este registo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.21/4912
Título: The daily and hourly energy consumption and load forecasting using artifitial neural network method: a case study using a set of 93 households in Portugal
Autor: Rodrigues, Filipe Martins
Cardeira, Carlos
Calado, João Manuel Ferreira
Palavras-chave: Artificial Neural Networks
Boolean Application
Energy Forecasting
Hourly and Daily Energy
Levenberg-Marquardt
Data: 2014
Editora: Elsevier Ltd
Citação: RODRIGUES, Filipe Martins; CARDEIRA, Carlos; CALADO, João Manuel Ferreira – The daily and hourly energy consumption and load forecasting using artifitial neural network method: A case study using a set of 93 households in Portugal. In Energy Procedia. Amsterdam: Elsevier Ltd, 2014. ISSN: 876-6102. Vol. 62, pp. 220-229
Resumo: It is important to understand and forecast a typical or a particularly household daily consumption in order to design and size suitable renewable energy systems and energy storage. In this research for Short Term Load Forecasting (STLF) it has been used Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and, despite the consumption unpredictability, it has been shown the possibility to forecast the electricity consumption of a household with certainty. The ANNs are recognized to be a potential methodology for modeling hourly and daily energy consumption and load forecasting. Input variables such as apartment area, numbers of occupants, electrical appliance consumption and Boolean inputs as hourly meter system were considered. Furthermore, the investigation carried out aims to define an ANN architecture and a training algorithm in order to achieve a robust model to be used in forecasting energy consumption in a typical household. It was observed that a feed-forward ANN and the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm provided a good performance. For this research it was used a database with consumption records, logged in 93 real households, in Lisbon, Portugal, between February 2000 and July 2001, including both weekdays and weekend. The results show that the ANN approach provides a reliable model for forecasting household electric energy consumption and load profile. © 2014 The Author.
Peer review: yes
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.21/4912
DOI: 10.1016/j.egypro.2014.12.383
ISSN: 876-6102
Aparece nas colecções:ISEL - Eng. Mecan. - Comunicações

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