Utilize este identificador para referenciar este registo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.21/1421
Título: A model to forecast financial failure, in non financial galician SMES
Autor: Llano Monelos, Pablo de
Piñeiro Sánchez, Carlos
Rodríguez López, Manuel
Palavras-chave: Business failure
Prognosis
Logit
MDA
Reliability
Data: Jul-2011
Resumo: We are concerned with providing more empirical evidence on forecast failure, developing forecast models, and examining the impact of events such as audit reports. A joint consideration of classic financial ratios and relevant external indicators leads us to build a basic prediction model focused in non-financial Galician SMEs. Explanatory variables are relevant financial indicators from the viewpoint of the financial logic and financial failure theory. The paper explores three mathematical models: discriminant analysis, Logit, and linear multivariate regression. We conclude that, even though they both offer high explanatory and predictive abilities, Logit and MDA models should be used and interpreted jointly.
Peer review: yes
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.21/1421
Aparece nas colecções:ISCAL - Comunicações

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